Inflation-Spewing Dragon by Pater Tenebrarum

What is remarkable about the actions of central banks and their bought and paid for cheerleaders in academia is that they can manage to clothe their insane actions in respectable sounding jargon. Despite all of their elaborate econometric models they have one and only one response to any sort of adverse economic data: print more money. As Tenebrarum shows in “Inflation-Spewing Dragon” even talk about printing money to trigger consumer price increases to combat the fear of falling prices is nothing more than an excuse to print money, as prices could be raised by raising the VAT rate. Of course raising the VAT rate would not put newly created money into the hands of the favored banking industry.

One does wonder if there is any adverse economic news whose policy response does not include injecting more money into the economy.

Dovish Cooing from the Desolation of Draghi

As Reuters informs us, on the heels of Mr. Draghi’s somewhat “disappointing” attempt to assassinate the euro on occasion of the previous ECB meeting, the chief European printing press supervisor and certified monetary crank has decided to assure everyone of his ultra-dovish stance again on Thursday, by announcing that even more monetary insanity must be expected soon:

Fading growth and inflation prospects will force the European Central Bank to review its policy stance in March, President Mario Draghi said on Thursday, a strong signal that more easing could be coming within months.”

bruning_euro_08.25.2014_largeThe economy isn’t doing well? Let us set fire to the currency then, maybe that will help.

1-euro area TMS-spewing draghiStill not enough inflation! Euro area M1, a close approximation of the true money supply. Currently this aggregate is growing at roughly 14% p.a. This is the actual rate of inflation. Rising consumer prices are merely one possible consequence of inflation, and not necessarily the most pernicious one. Moreover, consumer price inflation can often appear on the scene with a very long lag (many years) – click to enlarge.

Here are a few more excerpts from the Reuters article:

 

“Downside risks have increased again amid heightened uncertainty about emerging market economies’ growth prospects, volatility in financial and commodity markets, and geopolitical risks,” Draghi told a news conference. “We are not surrendering in front of these global factors.”

[…]

Dismissing concern that the ECB’s policy arsenal is all but empty, Draghi said: “We have the power and willingness and determination to act. There are no limits to how far we are willing to deploy our (monetary) instruments.”

(emphasis added)

Two things are worth noting regarding the sentence highlighted above: first of all, it is absolutely true that people who assert that central banks “have run out of bullets” are all wet. How can one possibly “run out” of something one can create from thin air at a keystroke?

Secondly, it shows that Draghi and the merry pranksters at the ECB Council are not only well aware that there are no theoretical and practical limits to their monetary depredations, but they seem fully prepared to “go the whole hog”.

Naturally, it once again remains unexplained just how the printing of additional money with the explicit goal of making life more expensive for consumers (while creating price distortions across the economy) is supposed to increase prosperity. Just reflect on the sheer absurdity of this notion for a moment.

2-Germany, 2 year yieldOne of the perverse outcomes of the ECB’s policies: Yields on Germany’s 2-year notes have declined to a negative 0.45% – lenders to the government are thus guaranteed to lose money. It is as if the arrow of time had been inverted or suspended – superficially it appears as tough the categories “sooner” and “later” no longer mean anything. An economy receiving such extremely distorted interest rate signals is bound to be hollowed out on a structural level. Eventually this will lead to another big bust – click to enlarge.

The rest of the article can be read here.

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